TPM
President Obama ran on raising taxes and won. House Republicans ran
on not raising taxes, and got to keep their majority. So now the GOP is
offering a familiar sounding compromise: let’s not raise taxes.
More specifically, Obama’s re-election, and the looming expiration of
the Bush tax cuts, have made House Republicans’ prime imperative to
preserve the current tax rates on high earners, which Obama campaigned
and won on returning to Clinton era levels.
It’s a big ask, given the results of the election, and Obama’s
long-standing pledge to veto legislation that extends all of the Bush
tax cuts, even temporarily. Thus, their hopes rest on a vague suggestion
that they’ll concede higher revenues in a future tax reform agreement
with Obama, so long as he drops his demands for higher tax rates and agrees to cut entitlement spending.
This sounds familiar because it’s broadly speaking the same deficit
cutting deal Republicans spent most of this past Congress pursuing — one
that raises little, if any revenue, let alone revenue from high
earners. And early signs indicate that Democrats won’t bite.
“Because the American people expect us to find common ground, we
are willing to accept some additional revenues, via tax reform,” House
Speaker John Boehner said in the Capitol Wednesday — his first major
address since Tuesday’s election. “But the American people also expect
us to solve the problem. And for that reason, in order to garner
Republican support for new revenues, the president must be willing to
reduce spending and shore up the entitlement programs that are the
primary drivers of our debt.”
As a model, Boehner cited a revenue neutral 1986 tax reform
initiative spearheaded by President Reagan and Speaker Tip O’Neil. Top
Democrats, including Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY), have loudly rejected
that framework, arguing that it raises too little revenue to address
medium-term fiscal imbalances, and lets wealthy people off the hook for
drawing down budget deficits.
That leaves a yawning chasm between the parties, which cannot be
bridged unless the Democrats soften their demands, or Republicans figure
out a way to assure the tax reforms they are proposing raise
significant revenue on their own — without relying on dubious
projections of ensuing economic growth — and that it’s taken largely
from top earners.
Aware of the leverage that the expiring Bush tax cuts provide
Democrats, one Senate leadership aide warned that if Republicans don’t
allow the tax rates on top earners to expire, they’ll push the country
off the fiscal cliff.
And Republicans aren’t ready to go there.
“There is no mandate for raising tax rates on the American people,”
House Majority Leader Eric Cantor said Wednesday in an official
statement that again stressed the GOP’s opposition to higher tax rates.
“There is a mandate for avoiding the fiscal cliff and finding real
solutions so we can make life work for people again. Higher tax rates
won’t create jobs.”
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