Sunday, September 10, 2006

Iraq death tolls, statistics contorted by both U.S. and Iraqi sources

NEWS ANALYSIS

Why the Numbers Don't Add Up in Iraq

The Pentagon's fondness for secrecy along with partisan agendas in Baghdad often lead to contortions with death tolls and other details
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....In the volatile atmosphere of today's Iraq, numbers can lie and statistics can be notional, be they from U.S. or Iraqi sources.

Government agencies here rarely keep reliable statistics. Fear and partisan agendas sway Iraqi officials, making them reluctant to divulge what little data they collect. The U.S. military's fondness for secrecy tends to clash with the brass' demands for "metrics" to quantify any progress.

This tension often leads to curious contortions of numbers and nomenclature.

During weekly news briefings deep inside barricaded compounds, commanders regularly display slick charts, multicolored bar graphs and PowerPoint presentations, all heralding good news.

"One more indicator that operations are in fact reducing the amount of attacks on civilians is shown here on this graph," (Army Maj. Gen. William B. Caldwell IV, the chief military spokesman in Baghdad) assured reporters the other day, pointing to a bar chart dutifully placed on an easel by a stone-faced uniformed subordinate. But all the numbers had been carefully scrubbed. They were classified....

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